Earned Value Management formulės
Įvaldyti Earned Value Management (EVM) reiškia įvaldyti jo formules. Nesvarbu, ar valdote kelių milijonų dolerių statybų projektą, ar ruošiatės PMP® egzaminui, suprasti, kaip šios metrikos tarpusavyje sąveikauja, yra labai svarbu.
15 pagrindinių EVM terminų (įskaitant senuosius pavadinimus)
| Santrumpa | Senasis pavadinimas (vis dar PMP) | Pilnas pavadinimas | Reikšmė |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAC | — | Biudžetas užbaigus | Pradinis projekto biudžetas |
| PV | BCWS | Planinė vertė | Suplanuoto darbo biudžetinė kaina |
| EV | BCWP | Uždirbta vertė | Atlikto darbo biudžetinė kaina |
| AC | ACWP | Faktinės išlaidos | Faktinė atlikto darbo kaina |
| CPI | — | Išlaidų našumo indeksas | Išlaidų efektyvumas (daugiau nei 1 yra gerai) |
| SPI | — | Grafiko našumo indeksas | Grafiko efektyvumas (daugiau nei 1 yra gerai) |
| CV | — | Išlaidų dispersija | Išlaidų trūkumas/perteklius ($) |
| SV | — | Grafiko dispersija | Grafiko trūkumas/perteklius ($) |
| EAC | — | Sąmata užbaigus | Prognozuojama bendra projekto kaina |
| ETC | — | Sąmata iki užbaigimo | Prognozuojamos likusios išlaidos |
| VAC | — | Dispersija užbaigus | Prognozuojamas biudžeto perteklius/trūkumas |
| TCPI | — | Iki užbaigimo našumo indeksas | Reikalingas efektyvumas likusiems darbams |
4 EAC formulės (kada kurią naudoti)
Skirtingai nei CPI ar CV, kurie yra tiesioginiai matematiniai skaičiavimai, EAC yra prognozė. Pagal PMBOK 6-ąjį leidimą, p. 264-265, jūs privalote pasirinkti tinkamą formulę, atsižvelgdami į dabartinę savo projekto situaciją.
1. Tipinis našumas tęsiasi (dažniausia)
Naudokite, kai: Tikitės, kad dabartinis išlaidų efektyvumas (gali būti blogas arba geras) tęsis visą likusį projekto laiką. Tai numatytoji prielaida daugumoje programinių įrangų ir PMP egzamine.
2. Būsimi darbai pagal planuotą tarifą (vienkartinė dispersija)
Naudokite, kai: Dabartinė išlaidų dispersija buvo neįprastas įvykis (pvz., ekstremali oro sąlyga), ir jūs tvirtai tikite, kad būsimi darbai vyks tiksliai pagal pradinį biudžetą.
3. Likę darbai su dabartiniu efektyvumu
Naudokite, kai: Tai iš tikrųjų yra tas pats, kas 1-asis metodas, tik matematiškai išplėstas, siekiant parodyti, kad likę darbai (BAC - EV) yra vertinami pagal dabartinį CPI.
4. Tiek išlaidos, tiek grafikas turi įtakos
Naudokite, kai: Projektas turi griežtą terminą, o buvimas atsilikus nuo grafiko (blogas SPI) privers mokėti už viršvalandžius ar greitesnį pristatymą, o tai padidins išlaidų viršijimą.
Du išsamūs praktiniai pavyzdžiai
Pavyzdys A: Sunkumų patiriantis projektas
IT projektas turi BAC $500,000. Po 6 mėnesių jūs suplanavote užbaigti 50% ($250,000) darbų. Tačiau jūs faktiškai užbaigėte tik 30% ir tam jau išleidote $200,000.
- PV = $250,000
- EV =
Earned Value Management Formulas
Mastering Earned Value Management (EVM) means mastering its formulas. Whether you are managing a multi-million dollar construction project or preparing for your PMP® exam, understanding how these metrics interlock is crucial.
The 15 Core EVM Terms (Including Old Names)
Abbreviation Old Name (Still on PMP) Full Name Meaning BAC — Budget at Completion Original project budget PV BCWS Planned Value Budgeted cost of work scheduled EV BCWP Earned Value Budgeted cost of work performed AC ACWP Actual Cost Actual cost of work performed CPI — Cost Performance Index Cost efficiency (above 1 is good) SPI — Schedule Performance Index Schedule efficiency (above 1 is good) CV — Cost Variance Cost deficit/surplus ($) SV — Schedule Variance Schedule deficit/surplus ($) EAC — Estimate at Completion Forecasted total project cost ETC — Estimate to Complete Forecasted remaining cost VAC — Variance at Completion Forecasted budget surplus/deficit TCPI — To-Complete Perf. Index Efficiency needed on remaining work The 4 EAC Formulas (When to Use Which)
Estimate at Completion (EAC) does not have just one formula. According to PMBOK 6th Edition p.265, you must choose the right formula based on your project's current reality.
1. Typical Performance Continues (Most Common)
EAC = BAC / CPIWhen to use: You expect your team's past cost performance to continue at the same rate. This is the default EAC formula used in most software and the most commonly tested on the PMP exam.
2. Future Work at Planned Rate (One-Time Variance)
EAC = AC + (BAC - EV)When to use: The variance was a one-time event not expected to recur. All future work will proceed exactly as originally budgeted.
3. Remaining Work at Current Efficiency
EAC = AC + ((BAC - EV) / CPI)When to use: Both past and future work are affected by the same sustained CPI impact. Note: this formula is mathematically identical to EAC = BAC / CPI (see derivation below).
4. Both Cost AND Schedule Factored In
EAC = AC + [(BAC - EV) / (CPI × SPI)]When to use: Your project is behind schedule and you must meet the original deadline. Because you have to rush (overtime, extra resources), the schedule delay will cause additional cost overruns.
Two Complete Worked Examples
Example A: The Struggling Project
A software project has a BAC of $100,000. Currently, PV = $40,000, EV = $30,000, and AC = $45,000.
- CPI = EV / AC = 30,000 / 45,000 = 0.67 (Severe cost overrun)
- SPI = EV / PV = 30,000 / 40,000 = 0.75 (Behind schedule)
- EAC (Formula 1) = 100,000 / 0.67 = $149,253 (Projected to cost ~50% more than planned)
- ETC = 149,253 - 45,000 = $104,253 (Money still needed to finish)
Example B: The Ahead-of-Schedule Project
A construction project has a BAC of $500,000. Currently, PV = $200,000, EV = $250,000, and AC = $230,000.
- CPI = EV / AC = 250,000 / 230,000 = 1.08 (Under budget)
- SPI = EV / PV = 250,000 / 200,000 = 1.25 (Ahead of schedule)
- EAC (Formula 1) = 500,000 / 1.08 = $462,962 (Projected to save ~$37,000)
Formula Derivation Walkthrough
Why does
EAC = BAC / CPIgive the same result asEAC = AC + (BAC − EV) / CPI? Here is the algebra:EAC = AC + (BAC − EV) / CPI→ Open the Free BAC Calculator 50,000 (0.30 × 500,000)
EAC = AC + BAC/CPI − EV/CPI
Since CPI = EV/AC, it follows that EV/CPI = AC
EAC = AC + BAC/CPI − AC
EAC = BAC / CPI ✓ - AC = $200,000
- CV = 150,000 - 200,000 = -$50,000 (viršija biudžetą)
- SV = 150,000 - 250,000 = -
Earned Value Management Formulas
Mastering Earned Value Management (EVM) means mastering its formulas. Whether you are managing a multi-million dollar construction project or preparing for your PMP® exam, understanding how these metrics interlock is crucial.
The 15 Core EVM Terms (Including Old Names)
Abbreviation Old Name (Still on PMP) Full Name Meaning BAC — Budget at Completion Original project budget PV BCWS Planned Value Budgeted cost of work scheduled EV BCWP Earned Value Budgeted cost of work performed AC ACWP Actual Cost Actual cost of work performed CPI — Cost Performance Index Cost efficiency (above 1 is good) SPI — Schedule Performance Index Schedule efficiency (above 1 is good) CV — Cost Variance Cost deficit/surplus ($) SV — Schedule Variance Schedule deficit/surplus ($) EAC — Estimate at Completion Forecasted total project cost ETC — Estimate to Complete Forecasted remaining cost VAC — Variance at Completion Forecasted budget surplus/deficit TCPI — To-Complete Perf. Index Efficiency needed on remaining work The 4 EAC Formulas (When to Use Which)
Estimate at Completion (EAC) does not have just one formula. According to PMBOK 6th Edition p.265, you must choose the right formula based on your project's current reality.
1. Typical Performance Continues (Most Common)
EAC = BAC / CPIWhen to use: You expect your team's past cost performance to continue at the same rate. This is the default EAC formula used in most software and the most commonly tested on the PMP exam.
2. Future Work at Planned Rate (One-Time Variance)
EAC = AC + (BAC - EV)When to use: The variance was a one-time event not expected to recur. All future work will proceed exactly as originally budgeted.
3. Remaining Work at Current Efficiency
EAC = AC + ((BAC - EV) / CPI)When to use: Both past and future work are affected by the same sustained CPI impact. Note: this formula is mathematically identical to EAC = BAC / CPI (see derivation below).
4. Both Cost AND Schedule Factored In
EAC = AC + [(BAC - EV) / (CPI × SPI)]When to use: Your project is behind schedule and you must meet the original deadline. Because you have to rush (overtime, extra resources), the schedule delay will cause additional cost overruns.
Two Complete Worked Examples
Example A: The Struggling Project
A software project has a BAC of $100,000. Currently, PV = $40,000, EV = $30,000, and AC = $45,000.
- CPI = EV / AC = 30,000 / 45,000 = 0.67 (Severe cost overrun)
- SPI = EV / PV = 30,000 / 40,000 = 0.75 (Behind schedule)
- EAC (Formula 1) = 100,000 / 0.67 = $149,253 (Projected to cost ~50% more than planned)
- ETC = 149,253 - 45,000 = $104,253 (Money still needed to finish)
Example B: The Ahead-of-Schedule Project
A construction project has a BAC of $500,000. Currently, PV = $200,000, EV = $250,000, and AC = $230,000.
- CPI = EV / AC = 250,000 / 230,000 = 1.08 (Under budget)
- SPI = EV / PV = 250,000 / 200,000 = 1.25 (Ahead of schedule)
- EAC (Formula 1) = 500,000 / 1.08 = $462,962 (Projected to save ~$37,000)
Formula Derivation Walkthrough
Why does
EAC = BAC / CPIgive the same result asEAC = AC + (BAC − EV) / CPI? Here is the algebra:EAC = AC + (BAC − EV) / CPI→ Open the Free BAC Calculator 00,000 (atsilieka nuo grafiko)
EAC = AC + BAC/CPI − EV/CPI
Since CPI = EV/AC, it follows that EV/CPI = AC
EAC = AC + BAC/CPI − AC
EAC = BAC / CPI ✓ - CPI = 150,000 / 200,000 = 0.75 (kainuoja ~33% daugiau nei planuota)
- SPI = 150,000 / 250,000 = 0.60 (dirba tik 60% planuoto greičio)
- EAC = 500,000 / 0.75 = $666,666
Pavyzdys B: Sėkmingas projektas
Statybų projektas turi BAC $2,000,000. Jūs esate ties 3 mėnesio žyma. Planavote išleisti $400,000. Jūs užbaigėte darbų už $500,000, o faktiškai išleidote tik $450,000.
- PV = $400,000
- EV = $500,000
- AC = $450,000
- CV = 500,000 - 450,000 = $50,000 (mažiau išlaidų)
- SV = 500,000 - 400,000 =
Earned Value Management Formulas
Mastering Earned Value Management (EVM) means mastering its formulas. Whether you are managing a multi-million dollar construction project or preparing for your PMP® exam, understanding how these metrics interlock is crucial.
The 15 Core EVM Terms (Including Old Names)
Abbreviation Old Name (Still on PMP) Full Name Meaning BAC — Budget at Completion Original project budget PV BCWS Planned Value Budgeted cost of work scheduled EV BCWP Earned Value Budgeted cost of work performed AC ACWP Actual Cost Actual cost of work performed CPI — Cost Performance Index Cost efficiency (above 1 is good) SPI — Schedule Performance Index Schedule efficiency (above 1 is good) CV — Cost Variance Cost deficit/surplus ($) SV — Schedule Variance Schedule deficit/surplus ($) EAC — Estimate at Completion Forecasted total project cost ETC — Estimate to Complete Forecasted remaining cost VAC — Variance at Completion Forecasted budget surplus/deficit TCPI — To-Complete Perf. Index Efficiency needed on remaining work The 4 EAC Formulas (When to Use Which)
Estimate at Completion (EAC) does not have just one formula. According to PMBOK 6th Edition p.265, you must choose the right formula based on your project's current reality.
1. Typical Performance Continues (Most Common)
EAC = BAC / CPIWhen to use: You expect your team's past cost performance to continue at the same rate. This is the default EAC formula used in most software and the most commonly tested on the PMP exam.
2. Future Work at Planned Rate (One-Time Variance)
EAC = AC + (BAC - EV)When to use: The variance was a one-time event not expected to recur. All future work will proceed exactly as originally budgeted.
3. Remaining Work at Current Efficiency
EAC = AC + ((BAC - EV) / CPI)When to use: Both past and future work are affected by the same sustained CPI impact. Note: this formula is mathematically identical to EAC = BAC / CPI (see derivation below).
4. Both Cost AND Schedule Factored In
EAC = AC + [(BAC - EV) / (CPI × SPI)]When to use: Your project is behind schedule and you must meet the original deadline. Because you have to rush (overtime, extra resources), the schedule delay will cause additional cost overruns.
Two Complete Worked Examples
Example A: The Struggling Project
A software project has a BAC of $100,000. Currently, PV = $40,000, EV = $30,000, and AC = $45,000.
- CPI = EV / AC = 30,000 / 45,000 = 0.67 (Severe cost overrun)
- SPI = EV / PV = 30,000 / 40,000 = 0.75 (Behind schedule)
- EAC (Formula 1) = 100,000 / 0.67 = $149,253 (Projected to cost ~50% more than planned)
- ETC = 149,253 - 45,000 = $104,253 (Money still needed to finish)
Example B: The Ahead-of-Schedule Project
A construction project has a BAC of $500,000. Currently, PV = $200,000, EV = $250,000, and AC = $230,000.
- CPI = EV / AC = 250,000 / 230,000 = 1.08 (Under budget)
- SPI = EV / PV = 250,000 / 200,000 = 1.25 (Ahead of schedule)
- EAC (Formula 1) = 500,000 / 1.08 = $462,962 (Projected to save ~$37,000)
Formula Derivation Walkthrough
Why does
EAC = BAC / CPIgive the same result asEAC = AC + (BAC − EV) / CPI? Here is the algebra:EAC = AC + (BAC − EV) / CPI→ Open the Free BAC Calculator 00,000 (lenkia grafiką)
EAC = AC + BAC/CPI − EV/CPI
Since CPI = EV/AC, it follows that EV/CPI = AC
EAC = AC + BAC/CPI − AC
EAC = BAC / CPI ✓ - CPI = 500,000 / 450,000 = 1.11 (puikus išlaidų efektyvumas)
- SPI = 500,000 / 400,000 = 1.25 (puikus grafiko efektyvumas)
- EAC = 2,000,000 / 1.11 =
Earned Value Management Formulas
Mastering Earned Value Management (EVM) means mastering its formulas. Whether you are managing a multi-million dollar construction project or preparing for your PMP® exam, understanding how these metrics interlock is crucial.
The 15 Core EVM Terms (Including Old Names)
Abbreviation Old Name (Still on PMP) Full Name Meaning BAC — Budget at Completion Original project budget PV BCWS Planned Value Budgeted cost of work scheduled EV BCWP Earned Value Budgeted cost of work performed AC ACWP Actual Cost Actual cost of work performed CPI — Cost Performance Index Cost efficiency (above 1 is good) SPI — Schedule Performance Index Schedule efficiency (above 1 is good) CV — Cost Variance Cost deficit/surplus ($) SV — Schedule Variance Schedule deficit/surplus ($) EAC — Estimate at Completion Forecasted total project cost ETC — Estimate to Complete Forecasted remaining cost VAC — Variance at Completion Forecasted budget surplus/deficit TCPI — To-Complete Perf. Index Efficiency needed on remaining work The 4 EAC Formulas (When to Use Which)
Estimate at Completion (EAC) does not have just one formula. According to PMBOK 6th Edition p.265, you must choose the right formula based on your project's current reality.
1. Typical Performance Continues (Most Common)
EAC = BAC / CPIWhen to use: You expect your team's past cost performance to continue at the same rate. This is the default EAC formula used in most software and the most commonly tested on the PMP exam.
2. Future Work at Planned Rate (One-Time Variance)
EAC = AC + (BAC - EV)When to use: The variance was a one-time event not expected to recur. All future work will proceed exactly as originally budgeted.
3. Remaining Work at Current Efficiency
EAC = AC + ((BAC - EV) / CPI)When to use: Both past and future work are affected by the same sustained CPI impact. Note: this formula is mathematically identical to EAC = BAC / CPI (see derivation below).
4. Both Cost AND Schedule Factored In
EAC = AC + [(BAC - EV) / (CPI × SPI)]When to use: Your project is behind schedule and you must meet the original deadline. Because you have to rush (overtime, extra resources), the schedule delay will cause additional cost overruns.
Two Complete Worked Examples
Example A: The Struggling Project
A software project has a BAC of $100,000. Currently, PV = $40,000, EV = $30,000, and AC = $45,000.
- CPI = EV / AC = 30,000 / 45,000 = 0.67 (Severe cost overrun)
- SPI = EV / PV = 30,000 / 40,000 = 0.75 (Behind schedule)
- EAC (Formula 1) = 100,000 / 0.67 = $149,253 (Projected to cost ~50% more than planned)
- ETC = 149,253 - 45,000 = $104,253 (Money still needed to finish)
Example B: The Ahead-of-Schedule Project
A construction project has a BAC of $500,000. Currently, PV = $200,000, EV = $250,000, and AC = $230,000.
- CPI = EV / AC = 250,000 / 230,000 = 1.08 (Under budget)
- SPI = EV / PV = 250,000 / 200,000 = 1.25 (Ahead of schedule)
- EAC (Formula 1) = 500,000 / 1.08 = $462,962 (Projected to save ~$37,000)
Formula Derivation Walkthrough
Why does
EAC = BAC / CPIgive the same result asEAC = AC + (BAC − EV) / CPI? Here is the algebra:EAC = AC + (BAC − EV) / CPI→ Open the Free BAC Calculator ,801,801
EAC = AC + BAC/CPI − EV/CPI
Since CPI = EV/AC, it follows that EV/CPI = AC
EAC = AC + BAC/CPI − AC
EAC = BAC / CPI ✓
Šių EVM formulių supratimas leidžia projektų vadovams pranešti apie faktinę, kiekybiškai įvertintą projekto būklę suinteresuotoms šalims, visiškai pašalinant spėliojimus iš ataskaitų teikimo.
→ Išbandykite EVM skaičiuoklę